Real quick, more flesh after conference call is over, Musgrove is leading Wicker 47 to 46 in today's Rasmussen poll.

The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race finds a pure toss-up--former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) attracts 47% of the vote while Wicker earns 46%.

Musgove leads by ten points among women but trails by eight among men. The Democratic challenger leads among voters under 50 while the GOP incumbent leads among those who have passed the half-century mark. Musgove is supported by 81% of Democrats, Wicker by 76% of Republicans, and Wicker holds a very modest 44% to 40% lead among the state’s unaffiliated voters.

Both men are viewed favorably by 49% of the state’s voters. Wicker is viewed unfavorably by 32% and Musgrove by 42%.

Good times my friends, good times to be a Democrat.

After the drubbing Childers handed out in (MS-01) by 8 points in a bigtime Republican leaning district, is it really such a surprise that the most recent poll shows former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) beating newly appointed senator Roger Wicker by 8 points in Mississippi in today's DSCC internal poll?

Ambinder makes some very interesting comments on the flip, read on...

This is absolutely fantastic news my friends!

It's time to add United States Senator John Cornyn to the list of potentially vulnerable Republican incumbents in Election 2008.  The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Cornyn leading Democratic state legislator Rick Noriega by just four percentage points, 47% to 43%.

This ROCKS!

Been asked by friends and colleagues (many of whom still support Hillary), exactly why I support Barack.  So I penned a response (below the fold).  

Wayne Gilchrest was one of the 2 Publicans to come forward and oppose Dubya's preemptive war in Iraq (albeit a few years too late).  His prize for not being a Bush puppet was a somewhat unexpected primary loss to far-right wing state senator Andy Harris in MD-01.

Here's the fun part though, it turns out that due in no small part to the viciousness in the Publican primary to take out the incumbent Gilchrest, an opening may just have been created for the Dem candidate, State's attorney and well known (and liked) prosecutor Frank Kratovil, to actually challenge yet another usually ironclad safe Publican seat.

More on the flip about our latest pick-up opportunity...

Cross posted over at Swing State

Well this is pretty incredible news.  Dubya's dad's old seat in the House has a history of being as reliably Publican as any of them.  But the current holder of the seat, John Culberson, reliable crony, is in trouble like never before.

The Dem challenger, businessman Michael Skelly, had an incredible quarter for fundraising,

raising about $750,000 from individual donors without even tapping into his substantial personal wealth. Another Democratic operative said it could be the "best first quarter ever" for any House Democrat in his first filing period.

And the best part about it is that one of the reasons that this seat may just be in play is because of the redistricting plan of the bugman, Tom DeLay.

This could be awesome...

More details from the article on the flip.

Hastert's old House Seat could flip!  Foster leads Oberweis 52-47 in today's new SUSA Poll!

This ROCKS!

more on flip...

 OH as of 2/29:

47 Clinton
45 Obama

TX as of 2/28:

48 Obama
44 Clinton

PA as of 2/28:

Clinton 46
Obama 42

More details on the flip...

This is just too damned funny not to share with y'all.  Mike Krempansky, co-founder of Red State, and Monica Goodling, Abu Gonzales' and Karl Rove's counsel and lying weasel-in-chief, are engaged to be married.  So much snarky goodness!

Today brings us news that former governor Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) is once again trouncing incumbent John Sununu (R-NH and Dubya sycophant extraordinairre) by a solid 17%, 54 to 37.  This seat is looking good.  (There was an outlier poll a few weeks back by ARG, the most craptastic of pollsters, which showed Sununu with a lead, but as expected, it was indeed an outlier...)

And in other wonderful news over the weekend, looks like Udall (D-NM) is well on his way to pummeling either/both the reprehensible Pearce (R-crazytown) or the self-proclaimed moderate (but clearly not) Heather Wilson by double digits, so much so that CQ Politics has changed the race to Dem Favored, meaning that Udall is now the frontrunner :)

So just checked in to see how the count from the New Mexico caucus from last night was going, and it looks like Hillary has pulled into a 210 vote lead with 98% reporting.  Crazy stuff indeed.

An observation for you all in terms of counties and voting patterns on the flip...

Today we get the news from Not Larry Sabato (one of the many progressive blogs out of Virginia), that Tom Davis (R-VA) is going to be #26 House Publican to step down rather than face the rest of eternity in the minority.

A few thoughts about Davis' retirement below the fold.

Just trying to get a gauge for how people are thinking now that the race is shaping up and the finalists are getting closer to being finalized.

Real quick poll just to see what people are thinking on this.  I am a New Yorker, so my experience with Bloomberg is somewhat more extensive than those of you who live outside of NYC and New York State.

On the flip is the poll.

Woohoo!  One of my favorite senators, liberal champion from Vermont, Patrick Leahy is going to endorse Senator Obama today!

From TPM:

The Obama campaign has been touting a mystery "major endorsement," to be announced on a conference call today.

I've just learned from a source familiar with the decision that it's Senator Patrick Leahy.

That's a big endorsement for Obama -- he's a major liberal standard bearer who's been in the Senate for over three decades.

After what happened in Iowa, you would assume that Timmeh and the rest would love to have them a piece of the wonderful display of Democracy that happened last evening wouldnt you?

Well, your assumption would be dead wrong.  Check out this Sunday's lineup after the fold.

Oh, and if you thought that coming in 4th place was a bigtime win, then you must be a member of the (dying) traditional media.  McCain is all over the place...

Quick diary, then back to work.  Today the New Hampshire Attorney General, Kelly A. Ayotte, held a press conference from New Hampshire to discuss the anonymous push polls a few weeks back.  The substance of the push polls was basically that Romney was a crazy Mormon, and that Mormons are crazy.  And did you know that Romney was a Mormon and that Mormons were crazy?

Here's the fun thing.  The NH AG has named the push polling outfit, and it's Moore Information.

More after the jump.

In today's WaPo, we find a semi-decent analysis of the recent missteps by the Hillary campaign.

The Article focuses primarily on that

fateful moment in Philadelphia in late October

you know, the one where she jumped back and forth on her feelings about Spitzer's illegal immigrant driver's license imbroglio.

In my humble opinion however, that is not the interesting part of the article.  Jump with me to the other side of the fold if you would be so kind...

Anyone seen today's WaPo?  It contains 4 OpEds.  All 4 are by hardcore rightwingers.

The writers of the OpEds are as follows:

1. former Dubya speechwriter and overall toad, Michael Gerson

2. insanest of the insane neocon freak warmongers, the man who hasnt been correct on anything he has written or said since his middle school spelling tests, John Bolton

3. traitor and Rove bestest buddy since their college days when they used to step on small amphibians together, Robert Novak

4. father of conservatism, global warming denier, and again overall whackjob, George Will

below the fold we'll chat about the OpEds themselves, and what the hell WaPo is thinking...